What do you think the chances of a split?
Very unlikely in my opinion.
Stock splits are done when:
1.- Company is in trouble, needs extra money and spread the risk in more shares/less cost.
2.- Stock is way too expensive and prevents the regular investor of jumping in.
None of these scenarios apply today to Apple; they're sitting in a big pile of cash, and they're not a mini version of Berkshire Hathaway. However, they've gone splitting in the past. Why? Nobody knows in the first 2 cases for sure, but the last time was just to rally the stock. They don't need that now, unless they want to keep the stock price down ($50/$75 range). Splits are psychological moves, and right now, Apple is a big bear, so no need to resort to that.
Next year, after the $300 ceiling? Maybe, but why ruin the exclusivity aura that surrounds an expensive stock, without any need for it?
And forget about dividends... Jobs likes sitting on a pile of cash "just in case."